The Forecaster – Home

The Story of Martin Armstrong

The Forecaster

Can a computer model predict the world economy?

Watch on VOD Directed and edited by Marcus Vetter, co-director Karin Steinberger. A production of Filmperspektive and Bukera Pictures in co-production with Eikon, TV Plus, SWR, NDR and ARTE.
“Thriller than reality.“

Weekly newspaper “Die Zeit”

“The Forecaster is as serpentine and fascinating as a John le Carré novel.“

LA Weekly

“It plays like a slickly elaborate sketch for a future Hollywood retelling in the Wolf of Wall Street mold.”

Hollywoodreporter

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The Story

of martin armstrong

MARTIN ARMSTRONG, once a US based trillion dollar financial advisor, developed a computer model based on the number pi and other cyclical theories to predict economic turning points with eerie accuracy. In the early 80s he established his financial forecasting and advising company Princeton Economics. His forecasts were in great demand worldwide. As Armstrong’s recognition grew, prominent New York bankers invited him to join “The Club” to aid them in market manipulation. Martin repeatedly refused. Later that same year (1999) the FBI stormed his offices, confiscating his computer model and accusing him of a 3 billion dollar Ponzi scheme. Was it an attempt to silence him and prevent him from initiating a public discourse on the real Ponzi scheme of debts that the world has been building up for decades? Armstrong predicts that a sovereign debt crisis will start to unfold on a global level after October 1, 2015 – a major pi turning point that his computer model forecasted many years ago.

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“Marty was held in jail from 2000 until 2006, not; because he was convicted of a crime, but because he is in a stand-off with the government.“

David Glovin, Reporter at Bloomberg News

Cycle of Imprisonment

Martin Armstrong was imprisoned for 7 years for civil contempt, one of the longest-ever such cases in American history. From prison, he continued to work on his economic models, writing articles and analyzing the impact of current events.

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“Here is a man who I believe in my heart did absolutely nothing wrong. And I can tell you, even if he did, he did not deserve the treatment that he received.“

Larry Edelson, Gold Trader and Former Client

Protagonists

Thomas Sjoblom

Thomas Sjoblom; is a trial lawyer and litigator in Washington D.C., specialize in defending people charged with securities fraud by the SEC and DOJ. He represented Martin Armstrong for many years without getting payed because Armstrong was not allowed any money to pay for his defence. In Sjoblom´s point of view, this case held not one piece of evidence that Martin Armstrong himself was engaged in fraud. For more information please visit www.tvs-law.com

Larry Edelson

Larry Edelson; is a commodities advisor and former client of Armstrong, who lives and works in Bangkok, Thailand. He has known Armstrong since 1980 and was soon fascinated by the accuracy of his forecasts. When Armstrong went to jail, he stood ready to finance Princeton Economics International and to take it out of receivership and keep it going. But he says that Tancred Schiavoni, the court-appointed receiver, told him: “I don´t care how much money you have to finance the operations. We want the source code.”

Oliver Brown

Oliver Brown; was an employee at the Metropolitan Correctional Center (MCC) in New York City. He operated the law-library at the MCC as an education specialist and met Martin Armstrong at his daily visits to the library. He declared in court that in his 30 years at the Bureau of Prisons, he has never seen the policies and processes so manipulated as in this case. He says: MCC’s protocols and policies were not followed for Martin Armstrong.

Barclay Leib

Barclay Leib, fund manager and market analyst in New York, specialised in hedge fund research and asset allocation. Before he worked for Martin Armstrong as the Assistant to the Chairman, he asked some people in the business what they knew about him. Some people at Goldman Sachs told him that Marty was a big metals trader and that they had bumped up against him a few times in the market – and that most of the time he ended up winning.

Michael Campbell

Michael Campbell; is one of the most respected business analysts in Vancouver. His radio show “Money Talks” on the Corus Radio Network is Canadas top rated business show. Michael Campbell followed Martin Armstrong´s work since the early eighties. He has been convinced of the accuracy of his forecasts since Armstrong predicted the high of the Nikkei Index in 1989 quite ahead of time– and was absolutely correct. Campbell uses Armstrong´s forecasts even today and invited him to his show in 2013.

Tony Godin

Tony Godin; is an IT-specialist living and practicing in Perth, Australia. He was the programmer for Armstrongs Princeton Economic International (PEI) and built the internal IT-security system. He programmed a network that reacted with self-destruction on any interference from outside. When some of the PEI-Systems were under attack, he built honey traps and tracked the intruders back to certain IT-adresses in Langley, Virginia – where the CIA has its headquaters.

Nigel Kirwan

Nigel Kirwan, used to be one of Martin Armstrong´s closest associates  before the FBI stormed the offices of PEI worldwide. He still believes that Martin Armstrong is a spectacular goods trader and that he had so many enemies in the market because he never “joined the club”. He lives in Byron Bay, Australia, where he just had to sell his house, because his reputation is in tatters due to his association with Martin Armstrong.

“The fascinating aspect is the stark difference between the American and European press. The American press, in general, are too engaged in self-censorship to report the truth to the people. At least in Germany, they are willing to discuss hard issues.”

Martin Armstrong

Press & Interviews

“The Forecaster plays like a slickly elaborate sketch for a future Hollywood retelling in the Wolf of Wall Street mold.”

IDFA Review by Neil Young

“The Forecaster Is a Compelling Doc of Financial Espionage.“

Village Voice Review by Chris Packham

International Press

The Forecaster – The story of espionage
05/07/2015 | LA Weekly & OC Weekly | by Chris Packham

The Forecaster – DOXA Review Vancouver

04/29/2015 | Straight | by Miranda Nelson

The Forecaster – IDFA Review

16/12/2014 | The Hollywood Reporter | by Neil Young

German Press

Thriller als die Wirklichkeit
05/06/2015 | ZEIT ONLINE | by Karsten Polke-Majewski

Ein Gespräch mit „Börsenprophet“ Martin Armstrong
05/06/2015 | Nordkurier| Interview

“Es wird zu einem großen Crash kommen”
Finanzprophet Armstrong sagt Ende des Euro voraus

05/07/2015 | Die Welt | by Nando Sommerfeld & Holger Zschäpitz

Hellseher mit dunkler Vita
05/07/2015 | ZEIT ONLINE | by Heike Buchter

Filmkritik: „Ich habe um mein Leben geschnitten“
05/07/2015 | Stuttgarter Nachrichten | by Cornelius Oettle

Alles auf Rot
05/07/2015 | Junge Welt | by Arnold Schölzel

Finanzmarkt-Star sagt den Zerfall des Euro voraus
05/08/2015 | Huffingtonpost | by Dr. Gunda Windmüller

Von Glaskugeln und Verschwörungstheorien
05/09/2015 | derFreitag | by Christine P. Krohne

Börsen-Analytiker Martin Armstrong: “Ich erwarte einen Crash im Oktober”
04/16/2015 | Huffingtonpost | by Marcel Bohnensteffen

Interview with Martin Armstrong
04/13/2015 | Wirtschaftswoche | by Rüdiger Strum

Press videos

the forecaster german TV reports

“The guys weren´t happy about all the stuff he was writing in his reports about them. So he is a player in the market, he exposed that market, but he is also outing this other major market players.“

Nigel Kirwan

Behind the Scenes

USA – Australia – Canada – Germany – Switzerland – Indonesia – Thailand
Larry Edelson in Bangkok
Larry Edelson in Bangkok
Thomas Sjoblom is a trial lawyer and litigator in Washington D.C., specialize in defending people charged with securities fraud by the SEC and DOJ. He represented Martin Armstrong for many years without getting payed because Armstrong was not allowed any money to pay for his defence. In Sjoblom´s point of view, this case held not one piece of evidence that Martin Armstrong himself was engaged in fraud. For more information please visit www.tvs-law.com
Thomas Sjoblom is a trial lawyer and litigator in Washington D.C., specialize in defending people charged with securities fraud by the SEC and DOJ. He represented Martin Armstrong for many years without getting payed because Armstrong was not allowed any money to pay for his defence. In Sjoblom´s point of view, this case held not one piece of evidence that Martin Armstrong himself was engaged in fraud. For more information please visit www.tvs-law.com
Marcus Vetter and Georg Zengerling shooting in Bangkok
Marcus Vetter and Georg Zengerling shooting in Bangkok
Thomas Sjoblom and Oliver Brown in Washington D.C.
Thomas Sjoblom and Oliver Brown in Washington D.C.
Michele Gentile, Marcus Vetter, Aljoscha Haupt, Thomas Sjoblom and Karin Steinberger shooting in Washington D.C.
Michele Gentile, Marcus Vetter, Aljoscha Haupt, Thomas Sjoblom and Karin Steinberger shooting in Washington D.C.
Martin Armstrong
Martin Armstrong
Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt filming Barclay Leib on his way to New York City
Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt filming Barclay Leib on his way to New York City
Aljoscha Haupt at work in New York City
Aljoscha Haupt at work in New York City
Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt packing the equipment for the flight in the streets of New York City
Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt packing the equipment for the flight in the streets of New York City
Karin Steinberger just landed at Newark Airport, New York
Karin Steinberger just landed at Newark Airport, New York
Michele Gentile, Harry Groenert, Michel Jacquemai, Thomas Sjoblom and Aljoscha Haupt in Armstrongs office in Philadelphia
Michele Gentile, Harry Groenert, Michel Jacquemai, Thomas Sjoblom and Aljoscha Haupt in Armstrongs office in Philadelphia
Martin Armstrong, Danielle White, Marcus Vetter and Thomas Sjoblom in Philadelphia
Martin Armstrong, Danielle White, Marcus Vetter and Thomas Sjoblom in Philadelphia
Georg Zengerlin, Michele Gentile and Aljoscha Haupt shooting a Conference of Martin Armstrong in Princeton, USA
Georg Zengerlin, Michele Gentile and Aljoscha Haupt shooting a Conference of Martin Armstrong in Princeton, USA
Georg Zengerling, Michele Gentile and Aljoscha Haupt in Martin Armstrongs house in Philadelphia
Georg Zengerling, Michele Gentile and Aljoscha Haupt in Martin Armstrongs house in Philadelphia
Marcus Vetter, Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt shooting in Sydney, Australia
Marcus Vetter, Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt shooting in Sydney, Australia
Neill Macpherson, Aljoscha Haupt and Georg Zengerling shooting in Macphersons office in Sydney, Australia
Neill Macpherson, Aljoscha Haupt and Georg Zengerling shooting in Macphersons office in Sydney, Australia
Marcus Vetter shooting in West Australia
Marcus Vetter shooting in West Australia
Philip Patterson and Georg Zengerling at Pattersons farm in West Australia
Philip Patterson and Georg Zengerling at Pattersons farm in West Australia
Georg Zengerling shooting in West Australia
Georg Zengerling shooting in West Australia
Aljoscha Haupt recording the sound of the sheeps in West Australia
Aljoscha Haupt recording the sound of the sheeps in West Australia
Georg Zengerling, Marcus Vetter and Aljoscha Haupt shooting in Byron Bay, Australia
Georg Zengerling, Marcus Vetter and Aljoscha Haupt shooting in Byron Bay, Australia
Marcus Vetter, Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt shooting in Byron Bay, Australia
Marcus Vetter, Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt shooting in Byron Bay, Australia
Aljoscha Haupt recording the sound of waves in Byron Bay, Australia
Aljoscha Haupt recording the sound of waves in Byron Bay, Australia
Aljoscha Haupt in Canada
Aljoscha Haupt in Canada
Aljoscha Haupt and Georg Zengerling shooting in Vancouver, Canada
Aljoscha Haupt and Georg Zengerling shooting in Vancouver, Canada
Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt shooting in Vancouver, Canada
Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt shooting in Vancouver, Canada
Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt in Canada
Georg Zengerling and Aljoscha Haupt in Canada

A Production of Filmperspektive

in Co-Production with Eikon, TV Plus, SWR, Arte and NDR
Filmperspektive GmbH

Our goal is to create a platform for the independent production of documentaries and fiction films. We are interested in using our unique backgrounds and styles to create feature length films that are high quality and tell stories that people throughout the world can relate to. We strive to do this by focusing on creating material that is  powerful, edgy, provocative, contemporary and must be seen because of its political or social relevance. Our vision is to create a network of filmmakers and commissioning editors around the globe who believe, like we do, that films do make a difference. Our aim is to create a student filmmaking program for young people who would otherwise not have a chance to be educated in this field. For more information please contact: info (at) filmperspektive.de

BRD  2014,  100min
HD/DCP /Dolby Digital / Cinescope

A production ofFILMPERSPEKTIVE GmbH
In co-production withEIKON Berlin
TV Plus Hannover
SWR /ARTE /NDR
Supported byMFG | MEDIENBOARD
NORDMEDIA | DFFF
Directed and edited byMarcus Vetter
Co-DirectorKarin Steinberger
CameraGeorg Zengerling
SoundAljoscha Haupt
MixJonathan Schorr
Original MusicSven Kaiser
Art DirectorMichele Gentile
Associate ProducerAnne Walser C-Films
Ulf Meyer addictive film
ProducersUlli Pfau
Michael Heiks
Marcus Vetter
Commisioning editorsGudrun Hanke El Ghomri, SWR
Kai Henkel, SWR
Barbara Biemann, NDR
Claudia Bucher, ARTE
Distribution, GermanyFarbfilm
Distribution, SwitzerlandPraesensfilms
Distribution, WorldAutlook Filmsales
welcome (at) autlookfilms.com
Directed and Edited by
  • Marcus Vetter
Co-Director
  • Karin Steinberger
Director of Photography
  • Georg Zengerling
Camera
  • Michele Gentile
Legal Advisor
  • Albert Kitzler
Associate Producers
  • Anne Walser
  • Jennifer Schense
  • Ulf Meyer
Producers
  • Ulli Pfau
  • Michael Heiks
  • Marcus Vetter
Art Director
  • Michele Gentile
Hand Drawings
  • Stephan Klotz
Original Music
  • Sven Kaiser
Location Sound
  • Aljoscha Haupt
Sound Design
  • Lena Zagikyan
Re-Recording Mixer
  • Jonathan Schorr
With (in order of appearance)
  • Ofer Cohen
  • Vicky Armstrong
  • Danielle White
  • Larry Edelson
  • Ida Armstrong
  • Sam Colavita
  • Anthony Godin
  • Michael Campbell
  • Barclay Leib
  • Nigel Kirwan
  • Justin Pfeiffer
  • Neill Macpherson
  • Jana Aspray
  • David Glovin
  • Tomas V. Sjoblom
  • Lesslie Macpherson
  • Georg Sperber
  • Oliver Brown
and
  • Martin Armstrong
Editing
  • Marcus Vetter
  • Michele Gentile
  • Georg Zengerling
Assistant Editors
  • Hannes Jo Rühle
  • Leon Füngers
  • Alan Attridge
Dialogue Editing
  • Aljoscha Haupt
Foley Artist
  • Peter Deiniger
Foley Disposition
  • Inken Griese
Foley Studio
  • Cine Impuls
Color Grading
  • Elmar Weinhold
Additional Music
  • Jens Ole Huercamp
Visual Effects Supervisor
  • Michele Gentile
Junior Animators
  • Leon Füngers
  • Sascha Schmidt
Animation Supervisor Soul Pix
  • Frank Sennholz
Additional Animators Soul Pix
  • Nils Dechenthin
Post Production Supervisor
  • Georg Zengerling
Post Production Advisor
  • Peter Pfanner, Timeline Studio
  • Stefan Bingeser
Post Production Advisor
  • Additional Legal Advisors
Post Production Advisor
  • Stefan Lieberum
  • F. Robert Stein, Pryor Cashman LLP
  • W. Wilder Knight II, Pryor Cashman LLP
Englisch Translators
  • Dr. Jo Van Vliet
  • Babelfisch Translations
Media Consultant
  • Florence Olara
Camera Engineers
  • Georg Zengerling
  • Achim Johne
HD Post Production
  • POST-FX
Animation Studios
  • Bukera Pictures
  • Soul Pix
Sound Mix
  • K13 Kinomischung
Post Production Studio
  • Bukera Pictures
DCP Mastering
  • POST-FX
Title and Credit Design
  • Michele Gentile
  • Leon Füngers
Webdesign & Concept
  • Ulf Meyer addictive film
Executive in Charge of Production
  • Hans-Jürgen Bubser
Bookkeeping Eikon
  • Boris Hoffmann-Plato
Bookkeeping Filmperspektive
  • Dietmar Neubrand
Controlling Eikon
  • Tina Schröder
Interns
  • Konstanze Ramsperger
  • Lulu DeBoer
  • Oliver Markgraf
  • Alona Rudolph
Researchers
  • Sonja Blaschke
  • Konrad Edge
  • Fakhri Hamad
Transcription Services
  • Scarlett Lorenz
  • Francisco Barata
  • Max Herbert
  • Ulf Meyer
  • Christiane Gentile
  • Wena Sanchez
Stringers USA
  • Decker Campbell
  • Ann Williams
Court Transcription
  • Alan Attridge
Line Producer Eikon
  • Jan Bullerdieck
Line Producer Filmperspektive
  • Annette Burchard
Line Producer SWR
  • Thomas Lorenz
Creative Producer TV Plus & Crossmedia TV Plus
  • Addick Addicks
Line Producer TV Plus
  • Christiane Enders
Production Assistant Eikon
  • Heike Menzel
Set Photos
  • Alan Attridge
  • Georg Zengerling
Archival Footage
  • Family Footage Armstrong
  • PEI Footage Armstrong Economics
  • Getty Images
  • Shutterstock
  • Bloomberg News
  • ITN Sources
  • Bukera Pictures
With Thanks to
  • Timo Baur
  • Tom Burchard
  • Walter Bressert
  • Harry Gröner
  • Michael C. Falker
  • Gesine Füngers
  • Christiane and Nocola Gentile
  • Davide and Samuel Gentile
  • Chris McGinty
  • Marc Hug, Filmgalerie Stuttgart
  • Michelle Jacquemai
  • Pierre Johne
  • Katharina Sophia Mercedes
  • Denise Kalipciyan
  • John Lemon
  • Beate Nonhoff
  • Jürgen Ott
  • Philip Peterson
  • Erwin Pletsch
  • Sabrina and Benjamin Rothenbacher
  • Harold Sampson
  • Gökhan Salici
  • Mary Schense
  • Patricia Schormann
  • Juvelier Seeger
  • Polly and Slatko Stürmer
  • Milan Stürmer
  • Ashley Warren
  • Jan Christoph Wiborg
  • Gisela Wendel
  • Ursula Klotz
  • Kostümparadies Weinundbrot
  • Edda Sert
  • Anna Boeckh
  • Carina Cavegn
Special Thanks to
  • Martina Zöllner
  • Dr. Christoph Hauser
Commissioning Editors
  • Gudrun Hanke-El Ghomri SWR
  • Kai Henkel SWR
  • Barbara Biemann NDR
  • Claudia Bucher ARTE